Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.243511 0.274944 0.308298 0.346264 0.388218 0.433097 0.484671
2025-08-17 0.199122 0.241088 0.288277 0.345053 0.411277 0.485843 0.575905
2025-08-24 0.167904 0.216086 0.273057 0.344917 0.432628 0.535661 0.665258
2025-08-31 0.143824 0.195637 0.259731 0.344042 0.451118 0.581592 0.751497
2025-09-07 0.128134 0.183198 0.254119 0.350924 0.478200 0.638260 0.852956
2025-09-14 0.112970 0.169323 0.244711 0.351215 0.495775 0.682878 0.940648
2025-09-21 0.100526 0.157508 0.236483 0.351660 0.512616 0.726444 1.028208
2025-09-28 0.090140 0.147299 0.229206 0.352253 0.528902 0.769257 1.115967
2025-10-05 0.082578 0.140322 0.225657 0.357383 0.551175 0.820601 1.216944
2025-10-12 0.077123 0.135901 0.225275 0.366710 0.579470 0.881083 1.332662
2025-10-19 0.070912 0.129573 0.221326 0.370131 0.598903 0.929410 1.432752
2025-10-26 0.066299 0.125336 0.220143 0.377427 0.624121 0.986738 1.547594
2025-11-02 0.062441 0.122181 0.220701 0.387900 0.655412 1.055409 1.683578
2025-11-09 0.056546 0.114861 0.213824 0.385907 0.667119 1.095264 1.778497
2025-11-16 0.051565 0.108626 0.208185 0.385396 0.680890 1.138560 1.880038
2025-11-23 0.047013 0.102674 0.202479 0.384233 0.693299 1.179981 1.980014
2025-11-30 0.044244 0.099815 0.201927 0.391693 0.720025 1.244623 2.118033
2025-12-07 0.040703 0.095036 0.197480 0.391951 0.734538 1.290223 2.227607
2025-12-14 0.037533 0.090651 0.193361 0.392406 0.749210 1.336399 2.339458
2025-12-21 0.034686 0.086614 0.189534 0.393039 0.764039 1.383172 2.453632
2025-12-28 0.032670 0.084138 0.188493 0.398668 0.787753 1.445333 2.594717
2026-01-04 0.031311 0.082963 0.189899 0.408915 0.820049 1.522879 2.763461
2026-01-11 0.029378 0.080267 0.188011 0.412671 0.840688 1.581284 2.902134